Oregon

ORModerate Impact64/100

Oregon's economy is anchored by Intel's massive Hillsboro campus — the company's largest global manufacturing site — and a diverse agricultural sector that feeds the world. Intel's $36B expansion in Oregon depends on specialized equipment from the Netherlands (ASML) and Japan (Tokyo Electron) now subject to tariffs, adding hundreds of millions to construction costs just as the US pushes for chip independence. The broader Silicon Forest corridor (Synopsys, Mentor Graphics, Lam Research) faces similar input cost increases. Oregon's Willamette Valley is one of the most diverse agricultural regions in the US, producing hazelnuts (99% of US production), grass seed, berries, wine grapes, and Christmas trees — many of these niche crops face retaliatory tariffs. Columbia River wheat exports to Asia, shipped through Portland's grain terminals, face retaliatory barriers. Nike, headquartered in Beaverton, designs in Oregon but manufactures in Vietnam, China, and Indonesia — tariffs on imported footwear directly raise prices on Nike products. Oregon's timber industry, heavily dependent on Asian lumber markets, has seen demand drop under trade tensions. The Port of Portland has lost container service entirely, a casualty partly attributed to trade disruption.

💡
Tariffs cost the average Oregon household $1,760/year — that's 52,000 jobs at risk and $8.5B in exports threatened by foreign retaliation. Oregon scores 64/100 on tariff impact severity.

Impact Score

📊

64/100

Moderate Impact

Household Tariff Cost

🏠

$1,760

Annual estimated burden

Jobs at Risk

👷

52,000

Trade-dependent employment

Exports at Risk

📦

$8.5B

Annual export value threatened

🏭 Industry Impact

IndustryJobs at RiskExport ValueTariff Exposure
Semiconductors (Intel)18,000$3.5B10-25% equipment
Agriculture (Hazelnuts/Wheat)14,000$2.0BRetaliatory 15-25%
Sportswear & Apparel (Nike)8,000$1.5B10-25% on imports
Timber & Forestry7,000$1.0BRetaliatory 20%

📦 Key Trade Products

Exports

Semiconductors$3.5B
10-25%
Wheat$1.2B
Retaliatory 20%
Hazelnuts$400.0M
Retaliatory 15%

Imports

Athletic Footwear (Nike)$5.0B
10-25%
Semiconductor Equipment$2.5B
10-25%

🏭 Top Exports

Key industries facing trade disruption:

1Electronics
2Machinery
3Wheat

🎯 Retaliation Targets

Products targeted by foreign retaliation:

⚠️Wheat
⚠️Hazelnuts
⚠️Cherries

💡 Did You Know?

  • Intel's Hillsboro campus is the company's largest global manufacturing site — tariffs on ASML equipment add hundreds of millions to fab costs
  • Oregon grows 99% of US hazelnuts — retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets threaten this unique crop
  • Nike HQ is in Beaverton but 100% of shoes are manufactured overseas — tariffs raise retail prices on every pair
  • The Port of Portland lost all container shipping service — partly due to trade disruption making the route uneconomical

🔄 Similar Trade Profiles

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