Raw Materials

What's the Tariff on Natural Gas?

Imported natural gas from Canada.

💡
The 10% tariff on Natural Gas is paid by American importers, not foreign manufacturers. Your 1 MMBtu now costs $3.85 instead of $3.5 — that's $0.35 more, or 10% of the sticker price going directly to tariff taxes.

Current Tariff Rate

10%

Pre-2025 Rate

0%

Rate Increase

+10pp

Price Impact

+10%

+$0.35

Real-World Price Impact

Before Tariffs

$3.5

1 MMBtu

After Tariffs

$3.85

1 MMBtu

That's $0.35 more per unit — a 10% price increase paid by the American buyer.

Note: Price estimates assume full tariff pass-through to consumers. Actual retail prices may vary — manufacturers may absorb some costs, shift production, or adjust margins.

The Story Behind This Tariff

The 10% tariff on Canadian natural gas targets the invisible backbone of North American energy — a pipeline network so integrated that gas molecules from Alberta flow seamlessly into furnaces in Michigan and factories in Ohio with no practical distinction from domestic supply. Canada supplies about 8% of total US natural gas consumption, but the regional concentration is far higher: parts of the Midwest and Pacific Northwest depend on Canadian gas for 30-50% of heating and industrial needs. Unlike oil, natural gas markets are pipeline-constrained, meaning affected regions cannot easily source alternatives. The tariff hits residential heating costs in northern states during winter months — a politically toxic outcome that disproportionately affects lower-income households spending 10-20% of income on energy. LNG alternatives are structurally uncompetitive: liquefaction, shipping, and regasification add -6 per MMBtu versus pipeline delivery costs of /bin/bash.50-1.00.

📦 Supply Chain

Primary Origin

Canada

Made in USA

92%

Import Volume

.8B

Alternatives

Domestic Appalachian gas (pipeline constrained)

📅 Tariff Timeline

1985

Deregulation of Canadian gas exports to US begins

0%

1994

NAFTA ensures free flow of natural gas

0%

2020

USMCA maintains energy market integration

0%

2025-Feb

IEEPA tariff applied to Canadian natural gas

10%

👥 Consumer Impact

Households Affected

35M

Annual Cost Per Household

5

💡 Did You Know?

  • Parts of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Oregon depend on Canadian natural gas for over 40% of winter heating supply
  • The US-Canada natural gas pipeline network is so integrated that gas can flow in either direction depending on seasonal demand
  • Replacing Canadian pipeline gas with LNG would cost 5-8x more due to liquefaction and regasification expenses

Tariff Details

HTS Code
2711.11
Current Rate
10%
Pre-2025 Rate
0%
Tariff Type
IEEPA

Legal Authority

IEEPA Executive Order (April 2, 2025)

Effective: April 2, 2025

"Liberation Day" — broad tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act

The tariff on Natural Gas is paid by the American importer at the port of entry and passed through to consumers as higher retail prices. The foreign manufacturer does not pay the tariff.

Who Actually Pays This Tariff?

Despite claims that tariffs are paid by foreign countries, the 10% tariff on Natural Gas is paid by American importers — US companies that purchase these goods from abroad. The cost is then passed to American consumers through higher retail prices.

  • ✓ The foreign seller receives the same price as before
  • ✓ The US importer pays 10% of the customs value to CBP
  • ✓ The retailer marks up the higher landed cost
  • ✓ You pay more at the register: $3.5 → $3.85

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